De-Risked Projections

Financial Models

Transform energy yield into bankable cashflow projections. NPV, IRR, payback— all calibrated for agrivoltaic investment decisions.

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Model Reliability

Projects Analyzed

Year Projections

What This Module Does

The Financial Models engine turns energy yield and demand profiles into a complete long-horizon cashflow model, answering the critical question: "At what capacity does this system create the most value?"

Capacity Optimization

Find the economically optimal system size

NPV Analysis

30-year discounted cashflow modeling

Self-Consumption

Demand vs. export optimization

Risk Assessment

Export constraints and sensitivities

Core Model Inputs

Our financial engine requires structured inputs that flow directly from yield predictions and site-specific demand profiles.

Capacity Sweep

Candidate PV capacities (e.g., 10-20 MWp in 0.5 MWp steps)

Demand Profile

Monthly electricity demand in GWh (e.g., refrigeration loads)

PV Yield Profile

Monthly kWh/kWp from Yield Predictions module

Price Structure

Retail rate (€/kWh) and export tariff for surplus energy

Cost Assumptions

CAPEX breakdown: panels, trackers, inverters, BOS, OPEX %

Financial Parameters

Lifetime (30y), degradation (0.5%/y), discount rate (5%)

Default Cost Assumptions

Panel CAPEX

€600/kWp

Tracker CAPEX

€25/kWp

Inverter CAPEX

€50/kWp

BOS CAPEX

€125/kWp

Total CAPEX

€800/kWp

OPEX/year

1.5% of CAPEX

Financial Parameters

Project Lifetime30 years

Annual Degradation0.5%

Discount Rate5.0%

Retail Electricity€0.19/kWh

Export Tariff€0.10/kWh

How The Model Works

A step-by-step breakdown of our financial calculation engine

Scale Production to Capacity

Converts monthly yield (kWh/kWp) into monthly PV generation (GWh) for each candidate capacity in MWp.

PV_gen[m] = Yield[m] × Capacity × 1000 / 1,000,000

Month-by-Month Energy Accounting

For each month, calculates self-consumed energy, exported surplus, and residual grid imports.

Self_consumed = min(PV_gen, Demand) Exported = max(0, PV_gen - Demand) Grid_import = max(0, Demand - PV_gen)

Savings Calculation

Computes baseline cost without PV versus net cost with PV (paying for grid imports, earning from exports).

Savings = Baseline - With_PV = (Demand × Retail) - (Import × Retail - Export × Tariff)

Degradation & Lifetime Projection

Applies annual performance degradation to Year 1 savings over the 30-year project lifetime.

Savings_t = Year1_savings × (1 - 0.005)^(t-1) - OPEX

Discounting & NPV

Discounts each year's net savings at the chosen rate and subtracts initial CAPEX.

NPV = Σ[Savings_t / (1 + r)^t] - CAPEX

Key Visualizations

Interactive charts that make complex financial data actionable

NPV vs System Capacity

Finding the economic sweet spot

Monthly Energy Balance

Self-consumption vs. Grid Export vs. Grid Import

Self-consumed

Exported

Grid import

Sep

1.5 GWh

Oct

2.5 GWh

Nov

2.0 GWh

Dec

2.0 GWh

Jan

2.0 GWh

Feb

2.0 GWh

Mar

2.0 GWh

Apr

1.0 GWh

May

0.0 GWh

Jun

0.0 GWh

Jul

0.0 GWh

Aug

0.0 GWh

30-Year Cash Flow Projection

Degradation-adjusted annual savings

Y10

Y20

Y30

Year 1: €850k

Year 30: €725k (86% of Y1)

Model Outputs

For each capacity scenario, the model returns key financial metrics

Capacity_MWp

System size being evaluated

Unit: MWp

CAPEX_EUR

Total initial investment

Unit: €

NPV_EUR

Net present value over lifetime

Unit: €

Yearly_Energy_Saving_EUR

Year 1 gross savings

Unit: €/year

Max_Monthly_Export_GWh

Peak export month (Year 1)

Unit: GWh

Export_Reference_GWh

Interconnection limit reference

Unit: GWh

Why It Matters

Investment-Ready

Outputs developers, banks, and consortium boards understand

Self-Consumption Focus

Explicitly accounts for consumption vs. export economics

Optimal Sizing

Find the capacity that maximizes value, not just a round number

Single Source of Truth

Consistent inputs for investment memos and loan applications

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